Bilbo
Mon 27 Mar 2000, 16:04
I have an idea, which is quite crazy, and prone to some heavy debate, but
which I think is quite good.
Nintendo should scrap the whole Dolphin project, and team up with Sega!!
So you thing, for Nintendo and Sega, what may the advantages be?
Consider this:
Sony has already a massive share of the console market with the Playstation,
and the Playstation 2 will surely follow the same path (specially considering
the success it amassed when they released the new machine in Japan).
The Dreamcast is indeed a very good machine, but which is going to get
technically overrun by both the Playstation 2, and the upcoming
(gasp!) Microsoft X-box. A recent article on IGNdc has already
dealed with the fact that several developers are leaving Dreamcast,
and jumping on the Playstation 2 bandwagon.
Furthermore, the Microsoft entrance to the console wars is a great
disadvantage for Sega, as Microsoft owns the Windows CE operating
system on which Dreamcast runs. Microsoft has been known to exploit
that kind of advantages rather dishonestly before (3Com Ethernet/Novell,
Mac Look & Feel, anyone?).
Meanwhile, back at the Nintendo camp, things are not looking too bright
either. The Dolphin project is heavily delayed, and will enter the console
wars too late, as the other players by that time will have grabbed most
of the marketshare. The ever-important third party developer support, will
surely be quite shallow.
As I see it, joining together is a win-win situation for both Sega and Nintendo.
Sega will be more strongely positioned, being backed up by a company like
Nintendo, and could have the added the strong benefit of having access to all
the Nintendo experience (Shigeru, the god!!) and games library
(the Pokemon, Mario, Donkey Kong and Zelda franchise, for one thing).
Furthermore, they could participate more actively in the hand-held area,
in which the upcoming Nintendo Game Boy Advance will surely dominate, and
in which Sega has no market share at all (I do not consider the
Dreamcast VMU a serious contender). The life expectancy of the Dreamcast
would surely increase at least by two years if a Nintendo-Sega merger
should happen.
Nintendo will have a platform on which to develop their games right
now (the Dreamcast), without having the cost of developing a machine of
their own, as well as all the Sega Dreamcast infrastructure (factories,
resellers, distribution and such).
They only drawback will be the loss of possible earnings by the sales of a
console of their own, but if they get access to a large share of Sega
stocks, they could get they earnings from the Dreamcast sales.
Nintendo could also gain access to the arcade machines market, in which
Sega is a strong player.
Then, there are some other similarities and gains to consider.
Both are japanese companies and have a large tradition and experience in
specially focusing on the gaming market (for example, neither the Dreamcast
or the upcoming Dolphin will have a DVD player, while the Playstation 2 has,
and the X-Box will).
Furthermore, both Nintendo and Sega could benefit from the differencies in
the company policies/culture. Sega could really learn to develop better
high-quality games (for example, it is wide known that the Nintendo
64 game library is quite small, but with several high quality games),
and Nintendo could learn to gain more third-party support (Sega has
a lot of third-party developers making games for the Dreamcast, while
Nintendo missed that opportunity big-time with the Nintendo 64 cartridge
format, and the delays in both that machine and the upcoming Dolphin).
The merging itself could be accomplished in several ways, by one
company buying out a slice of the other, or by both swapping stock
bonds, or whatever. I do not want to focus on that part in this mail,
but being crudely simplistic, Sega and Nintendo could possibly
merge by exchanging Dreamcast shares for Gameboy shares with each other.
As simply as that.
Having said all that, it is plain simple common sense to state that
teaming together, Nintendo and Sega could be a winning combination
in the crowded console wars.
Both consumers and the third party game developers will gain more
confidence in having two of the mayor players consolidated,
which might stop the impending "rats, abandon the sinking ship"-escape to
Playstation (and upcoming X-Box) land.
Last of all, as a console owner and avid player, I would gain
Nirvana being able to play Mario, Zelda, Sonic, House of the Dead,
Sega Rally,Pokemon, Shinobi, and all the other third party-games
(Soul Reaver and Tomb Raider for instance), all in the same console.
I think most console owners/game players would agree.
Bilbo
which I think is quite good.
Nintendo should scrap the whole Dolphin project, and team up with Sega!!
So you thing, for Nintendo and Sega, what may the advantages be?
Consider this:
Sony has already a massive share of the console market with the Playstation,
and the Playstation 2 will surely follow the same path (specially considering
the success it amassed when they released the new machine in Japan).
The Dreamcast is indeed a very good machine, but which is going to get
technically overrun by both the Playstation 2, and the upcoming
(gasp!) Microsoft X-box. A recent article on IGNdc has already
dealed with the fact that several developers are leaving Dreamcast,
and jumping on the Playstation 2 bandwagon.
Furthermore, the Microsoft entrance to the console wars is a great
disadvantage for Sega, as Microsoft owns the Windows CE operating
system on which Dreamcast runs. Microsoft has been known to exploit
that kind of advantages rather dishonestly before (3Com Ethernet/Novell,
Mac Look & Feel, anyone?).
Meanwhile, back at the Nintendo camp, things are not looking too bright
either. The Dolphin project is heavily delayed, and will enter the console
wars too late, as the other players by that time will have grabbed most
of the marketshare. The ever-important third party developer support, will
surely be quite shallow.
As I see it, joining together is a win-win situation for both Sega and Nintendo.
Sega will be more strongely positioned, being backed up by a company like
Nintendo, and could have the added the strong benefit of having access to all
the Nintendo experience (Shigeru, the god!!) and games library
(the Pokemon, Mario, Donkey Kong and Zelda franchise, for one thing).
Furthermore, they could participate more actively in the hand-held area,
in which the upcoming Nintendo Game Boy Advance will surely dominate, and
in which Sega has no market share at all (I do not consider the
Dreamcast VMU a serious contender). The life expectancy of the Dreamcast
would surely increase at least by two years if a Nintendo-Sega merger
should happen.
Nintendo will have a platform on which to develop their games right
now (the Dreamcast), without having the cost of developing a machine of
their own, as well as all the Sega Dreamcast infrastructure (factories,
resellers, distribution and such).
They only drawback will be the loss of possible earnings by the sales of a
console of their own, but if they get access to a large share of Sega
stocks, they could get they earnings from the Dreamcast sales.
Nintendo could also gain access to the arcade machines market, in which
Sega is a strong player.
Then, there are some other similarities and gains to consider.
Both are japanese companies and have a large tradition and experience in
specially focusing on the gaming market (for example, neither the Dreamcast
or the upcoming Dolphin will have a DVD player, while the Playstation 2 has,
and the X-Box will).
Furthermore, both Nintendo and Sega could benefit from the differencies in
the company policies/culture. Sega could really learn to develop better
high-quality games (for example, it is wide known that the Nintendo
64 game library is quite small, but with several high quality games),
and Nintendo could learn to gain more third-party support (Sega has
a lot of third-party developers making games for the Dreamcast, while
Nintendo missed that opportunity big-time with the Nintendo 64 cartridge
format, and the delays in both that machine and the upcoming Dolphin).
The merging itself could be accomplished in several ways, by one
company buying out a slice of the other, or by both swapping stock
bonds, or whatever. I do not want to focus on that part in this mail,
but being crudely simplistic, Sega and Nintendo could possibly
merge by exchanging Dreamcast shares for Gameboy shares with each other.
As simply as that.
Having said all that, it is plain simple common sense to state that
teaming together, Nintendo and Sega could be a winning combination
in the crowded console wars.
Both consumers and the third party game developers will gain more
confidence in having two of the mayor players consolidated,
which might stop the impending "rats, abandon the sinking ship"-escape to
Playstation (and upcoming X-Box) land.
Last of all, as a console owner and avid player, I would gain
Nirvana being able to play Mario, Zelda, Sonic, House of the Dead,
Sega Rally,Pokemon, Shinobi, and all the other third party-games
(Soul Reaver and Tomb Raider for instance), all in the same console.
I think most console owners/game players would agree.
Bilbo